Intermittent postings from Canberra, Australia on Software Development, Space, Politics, and Interesting URLs. And of course, Brains...
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Friday 1 May 2020
1 in 28
There is better than a 9 chance in 10 that treatment with Remdesivir will save the life of 1 in 30 patients treated with it. A game changer it's not.
Unless you are that 1 in 30, and with ~60,000 deaths in ~1,000,000 confirmed cases, that would be 2,000 lives saved. Probably. 9 in 10 chance it's not coincidence.
While it's no magic bullet, with obvious dramatic beneficial effects, there is currently no good evidence that it has any dramatic deleterious effect. The question is, if you give it to a million patients, will it kill more or less than 2,000? Previous safety tests strongly suggest a lot fewer.
Anonymous commenters - please add a signature (doesn't have to be your real name) on each post of yours. Anne O'Namus, Norm D. Ploom, Angry from Kent, Demosthenes, or even your real initials, it doesn't matter.
Commenters are expected to be polite to each other, but the same standard doesn't apply to comments regarding me.
Australian commenters are very very strongly advised to publish anonymously. Sydney alone has more defamation actions than the entire USA and UK. Nearly double that of the UK in fact.
As Google does not reliably inform me that a comment has been posted, and I have no control over first publication, I assert that all comments are innocently disseminated under the NSW DEFAMATION ACT 2005 - SECT 32 and similar acts.
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Anonymous commenters - please add a signature (doesn't have to be your real name) on each post of yours. Anne O'Namus, Norm D. Ploom, Angry from Kent, Demosthenes, or even your real initials, it doesn't matter.
Commenters are expected to be polite to each other, but the same standard doesn't apply to comments regarding me.
Australian commenters are very very strongly advised to publish anonymously. Sydney alone has more defamation actions than the entire USA and UK. Nearly double that of the UK in fact.
As Google does not reliably inform me that a comment has been posted, and I have no control over first publication, I assert that all comments are innocently disseminated under the NSW DEFAMATION ACT 2005 - SECT 32 and similar acts.